Oct 112020
 

All the polling shows the Harris/Biden ticket well in front. But it certainly seems like all the *enthusiasm* is on Trumps side; Biden rallies seem to be empty parking lots. Granted, Hillary didn’t do much better at getting people interested and she still beat Trump in total number of votes (assuming that the voting was reasonably fair and accurate, something that almost nobody holds out much hope for this time, especially with news stories like this one). If one assumes that all the enthusiasm is on the Trump side, and Harris/Biden wins the election anyway… what will happen? Will Trump voters do like BLMers and Antifa when they don’t get their way? What with Antifa getting bolder with just outright assassinating right wing protestors, one wonders if the election might be the final push over the edge for some since the math doesn’t seem to reflect the reality that a whole lot of people see.

Some day historians will look back on this era and shake their heads, wondering how so many people could have been so stupid as to fall for ChiCom/FSB agitprop and went out into the streets to burn cities down to protest nonsense, thus sparking the civil war that brought the US – and the rest of western civilization – low.

 Posted by at 11:43 pm
Oct 112020
 

An interesting and theoretically simple geoengineering project:

The daring plan to save the Arctic ice with glass

Simple idea: take small, hollow glass beads (65 micrometers) that are very reflective and scatter them about in the arctic, particularly in areas where the ice is melting away down to dark water. Experiments have shown that a coating of these beads can save ice from melting away entirely in summer, Do enough of it properly, and you could in principle reverse the massive loss in sea ice that the arctic has been experiencing. The beads are chemically inoffensive (they’re just glass, little different from sand) and don’t seem to harm critters digestive tracts if swallowed.

A good run of the process would cost a few billion dollars a year. A fair chunk of change, but consider this line:

If Field’s strategy works as intended, “that’s wonderful,” Bitz says, “but I know that not emitting CO2 in the first place will work.”

Uh-huh. Well, the EU and the US are slowly turning off the CO2 spigot. Guess who’s not:

China is slowing their rate of growth, but they are still growing and are the world leader; India seems to be catching up. So… spend a few billion dollars a year on foamed silica beads. Apply as directed to the bald patches up north. And then bill China. Heck, make deliveries of a certain kilotonnage of the stuff a contractual obligation if they want to do business with the rest of the world, specifics based on their CO2 output.

 Posted by at 6:00 pm
Oct 112020
 

An interesting article on how the deepfake of Nixon reading the “moon landing has failed speech” was created:

Inside the strange new world of being a deepfake actor

The process requires an actor to basically be a “puppet” for the final product, akin to motion capture. With current technology, both the appearance and the voice of the actor can be transformed into those of someone completely different. The line that jumped out at me:

The actor, in other words, serves as a puppeteer, never to be seen in the final product. The person’s appearance, gender, age, and ethnicity don’t really matter.

Huh. Pay attention to that, Hollywood. Here is how you can make non-insulting historical epics and still hope to win an Academy Award. Recall the new diversity rules for Oscar contenders:

STANDARD A:  ON-SCREEN REPRESENTATION, THEMES AND NARRATIVES
To achieve Standard A, the film must meet ONE of the following criteria:

A1. Lead or significant supporting actors

At least one of the lead actors or significant supporting actors is from an underrepresented racial or ethnic group.

      • Asian
        • Hispanic/Latinx
        • Black/African American
        • Indigenous/Native American/Alaskan Native
        • Middle Eastern/North African
        • Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander
        • Other underrepresented race or ethnicity

Huh. Well, folks, here’s your loophole. Let’s say you want to make a Viking saga, or something from Shakespeare or something about King Arthur or Peter the Great or Charlemagne or the Thirty Years War or Leonardo da Vinci or… whatever. but you’re pretty sure it’ll be an Oscar contender. What to do? Simple: hire, say, Idris Elba to play King Arthur and Viola Davis to play Lancelot and Salma Hayek to play Morgana and Hari Kondabolu to play Merlin. And then replace them in post: John Wayne as Arthur, Cary Grant as Lancelot, Marilyn Monroe as Morgana and Richard Harris as Merlin. You have, in fact, done what the Academy standards wanted you to do, and yet you’ve also made a reasonably accurate version of the flick.

As the technology improves, the argument for using real – and real expensive – actors to portray their un-deepfaked selves will get weaker and weaker. The world is full to overflowing with perfectly good actors who can portray anyone… they just don’t look the part. Now they won’t need to. We could soon enter an era where “acting” and “appearance” become wholly separate commodities. Actors might be known by name, but not by face. And regular schmoes with no acting chops whatsoever could make a good bit of extra cash by selling the rights to their appearance… go into a booth, strip down to your skivvies (or further, for extra cash) and you are 3D scanned to ridiculously high precision. Perhaps even X-rayed or sonogramed to get the skeleton right. Takes ten minutes and you’re back out onto the street. A year later you get a letter telling you that, hey presto, you’ll be portraying Darth Blarg in Star Wars Episode 15, The Sith Cash Grab. Two years later the checks start rolling in… a few tens of thousands for use in the movie, a few more tens of thousands for all the posters and T-shirts and action figures that use your likeness. Not a lot of money by current Hollywood standards, but all you did was stand there and strike a few poses for a few minutes.

 Posted by at 3:54 pm
Oct 102020
 

Well, maybe. The North Koreans are as renowned for their honesty and their transparency as the Harris/Biden team, so it’s entirely possible this thing is made out of cardboard. Still, attention should be paid, and attention should be paid to development of a new American ICBM. The US land-based ICBMs are based on a design pushing *sixty* years old. Design something new… and road-mobile. Build a thousand of the missiles, and five thousand decoys.

 

 

 Posted by at 10:26 pm
Oct 092020
 

I saw a commercial a little while ago where Gropey Joe said something along the lines that he will only raise taxes on people making more than $400,000 per year. But as mentioned yesterday, he wants to make rifles and standard capacity magazines NFA items. This means that you will need to pay a tax on each one of these that you own. And that tax is $200. Per item.

Do you have an AR-15 with three magazines? That’s a $200 tax on a $500 rifle… and a $200 tax on a $12 magazine, times three. You owe the government $800. But do you also have a Glock with a half dozen magazines? That’s an extra $1200 for the magazines. Maybe you also have an AK-47 clone with a dozen mags. You now owe a further $2600. Maybe you have a Beretta with six mags. That’s another $1200. That’s an extra $5,800 you owe, just for the privilege of exercising a Constitutional right.

Maybe you’re an enthusiastic collector. You have a dozen rifles, each with forty magazines. This is not so many for someone willing to buy a gun a year, say. But you now owe the government $98,400. Otherwise it’s ten years in a Federal prison.

Biden/Harris: not even once.

 Posted by at 2:03 pm
Oct 092020
 

Hmmm.

Singapore introduces ‘cruises to nowhere’ for travel-starved locals

In short… load half the number of passengers onto a cruise ship, set out to sea, pull into no ports, return home. All passengers and crew to be tested for Commie Cough prior to boarding.

I’ve been on a grand total of one cruise, an Alaskan coastal cruise some years ago. It pulled into several ports for excursions, but it seemed to me that the cruise itself was the main point of the exercise. I imagine that a cruise ship around – but not quite to –  interesting locales, complete with notably fewer passengers, could sell quite well, even at a substantial markup. Close off the interior cabins, sell only the exterior cabins – the ones with good views and lots of fresh air – test the crew *daily,* go bonkers with the luxuries, and these things seem like they’d do quite well.

 Posted by at 10:15 am
Oct 092020
 

Back in the 50’s the idea of lobbing troops and cargo around the world with rockets seemed not altogether unreasonable. US Transport Projects #1 illustrated a battlefield troop transport based on the Redstone missile; US Transport Projects #2 illustrated a scaled-up project for the same sort of thing using a Jupiter missile. In the 1960’s, Douglas scaled up the idea to use a ROMBUS SSTO to launch 1,200 fully equipped Marines halfway across the world (as seen in USTP#4), and Convair studied a similar idea at the same time based on work done on their NEXUS/Post Saturn designs (as seen in Aerospace Projects Review issue V3N3). In the early 21st century, “HOT EAGLE” was a spaceplane concept for hypersonic rocket-launched troop transport (seen in USTP#5 and USTP#6).

It turns out that the idea is still alive, thanks  in no small part to SpaceX.

Pentagon wants SpaceX delivering cargo around the globe — and a live test could come next year

The goal isn’t small… 80 tons delivered anywhere in the globe inside of an hour. Falcon 9 could not do this; this would seem to be a job for Starship/Superheavy. *If* SpaceX can get that system running for their hoped-for cost of only $2 million per flight for an orbital launch, then this would seem entirely practical. $2 million to transport 80 tons seems a bit steep, but given that it would be used for special operations, it might be a bargain. It’s quite possible that the Starship to be used would have to be quite different from the standard Starship, even from a Starship used for point-to-point commercial cargo and passenger service. The landing gear would need to be improved, so the craft could land on uneven and unimproved terrain; it would need defensive systems from ECM to flares to chaff and perhaps even powerful defensive lasers.  Given the likelihood that the Starship would not be recovered, it might make sense to split it into two parts: a stripped down propulsion section and a cargo lander that is basically just a low L/D payload shroud that comes screaming in and lands with chutes and braking rockets, splits apart and spills out all the goodies. Nothing of value left for the enemy to scrounge up, just sheet metal.

 Posted by at 7:05 am
Oct 092020
 

So yesterday the news came out that a militia group plotted to kidnap Governor Whitmer of Michigan. This was spun as “right wing domestic terrorism,” which I also bought into. But *of* *course,* that first reaction, as it so often does, turned out to be… well, perhaps not right:

Perps charged in Gretchen Whitmer kidnap plot are anarchists who hate police and Trump…

The available evidence, in the form of videos posted online by a couple of those arrested, is that they are stock-standard *anarchists.* This generally falls more in line with the left than the right. They – extrapolating from a limited selection of self-made videos – hate cops *and* they hate Trump, seeing him as a tyrant. Other members of this pack of geniuses indicate more conventionally “alt-right” or “boogaloo” views. To have such disparate views mashed together into one group is bizarre, to say the least

 

 Posted by at 6:35 am