Feb 282022
 

While the Russian invasion of Ukraine has not been defeated by any stretch of the imagination, it certainly does not seem to have gone according to plan. It looks like the Russians thought that this would be a cakewalk… either an easy military victory, or the Ukrainians would welcome them in. Instead, Russian forces *seem* to be catching hell from every quarter. At least from what’s been reported, it looks a bit embarrassing for Vlad.

I’ve seen a lot of vids of Ukrainians smack-talking the Russians, proud of their apparent victories, confident in the future. But Russia has so far used relatively minimal force. So is that Russia’s next step? if this wave of the invasion flops, will Russia step it up? Carpet bomb the cities into gravel, send wave after wave of soldiers who are under orders to *not* play nice with the Ukrainian citizens? Odin forbid, nuke the join? Because it *really* doesn’t seem likely that Putin will just accept the failure and go home.

 Posted by at 2:40 pm
Feb 252022
 

Over the past day or two, lots of reports have been made about a single Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter pilot who has shot down five or six Russian fighters. It’s a great story with a couple problems that boil down to: “fog of war.” Adding to the problem of determining just what the frak is going on is the fact that while there is footage of some of these supposed aerial victories… they might well be computer generated simulations. Some of the combat simulators available to be played on standard home computer equipment produce footage so realistic that even at full resolution and on large screens they’re a little hard to see as fake; scale them down and blur them a bit and make them look like crappy cell phone footage, and the digital artifacts are largely gone.

*Could* there be a Ukrainian ace prowling the skies? Sure. It’s certainly a target rich environment. Look at World War II… the highest scoring aces were on the Axis side, because their skies were *filled* with Allied pilots with relatively low experience. But *is* there such a pilot? Who the frak knows.  If the war ends in a week with Putin strung up in Red Square, a complete Russian withdrawal from Ukraine and a serious international tribunal that investigates every last bullet fired, we might still never know for sure. But if the Ghost serves as an enduring source of morale and pride for the Ukrainians… then the myth will never die.

 Posted by at 8:02 pm
Feb 232022
 

So I tried to log it to make another post, and was met with not a login page, but a string of error messages. Yet another call to tech support… and it seemed to clear up, kinda randomly.

Joy.

So, as always, if the blog vanishes *again,* I ain’t dead, it’s just technomages screwing with the machine spirit. If the blog vanishes for more than a short time in the future, check my (gah) Twitter for any updates or complaints or whines.

@UnwantedBlog

 Posted by at 3:30 pm
Feb 222022
 

Ever since the Commie Cough hit, I’ve noticed a lot of quality control issues in common products. Today I broke open a box with a new tube of toothpaste (purchased some months ago; expiration date is sometime in 2023) to find that something ain’t quite right with the tube.

I’m uncertain if the tube was *ever* actually sealed. The toothpaste itself has dried to a largely solid state. I’ve never actually wondered about what happens to toothpaste if allowed to dry out, but I’ve had that nugget of knowledge kinda thrust upon me. Woo.

 Posted by at 6:05 pm
Feb 222022
 

A few days ago Amazon plopped one of the most cringe-worthy videos I’ve ever seen onto YouTube. It *claimed* to be a video of four “superfans” of The Lord of the Rings reacting to the new trailer for “The Rings of Power,” and it was just astonishingly painful to watch. Basically they are everything wrong with modern woke corporate “fandom,” demonstrating a lack of understanding just what the frak Tolkein was on about in favor of unhinged “influencer” nonsense. These four Brits exemplify the soy-boy, alphabet-people hipster cliches, with one “guy” hoping that Sauron will appear in the series and be “hot” so he can dream about “fixing him.” You can *smell* their parents disappointment through the screen.

If you *must* watch it, here is:

Lest you think that Amazon UK just happened to randomly stumble across the four least credible, least serious fans of Tolkein, it turns out that Amazon did the same nonsense for several other countries. The *same* nonsense.

Despite the scripted, woke nature of this “round table” of genetic defectives, some important truths slipped out. The four UK “superfans” consist of one seemingly ethnically British person and three non-ethnic-Brits; a seemingly unlikely ratio in the land of JRR Tolkein. But the point is raised that they are *thrilled* to finally be “represented” in the Tolkein universe. And yet… they claim to have been fans *before* this series. Thus they were fans of white dwarves and white elves and white hobbit, as Tolkein described them. They didn’t actually need “representation” to be fans. They were fans (if they really were fans, and not just paid actors) of the story, characters and world that Tolkein created. They weren’t fans of the story, characters and world created by an Amazon algorithm.

Given the scripted nature of this atrocity, this is how Amazon wants to portray their little project. It’s not an accident. This is what Amazon thinks of Tolkein, his works and those who have actually been fans of them for years and decades.

If Amazon really wanted to produce a quality product that respected Tolkein and the fandom, they’d have a “roundtable” with acknowledged scholars and long-term fans. This group of people would, theoretically, be able to say “why, yes, it looks like it really respects Tolkein and I approve.” The fact that Amazon has no such offering tells you a lot.

Shrug.

Maybe in fifteen, twenty years, Elon Musk will have bought the rights to LotR and the Silmarillion, and will produce a *proper* multi-year projects covering the First and Second Ages. We can only hope, cuz this thing fills me with STD-levels of basement-level expectations.

 Posted by at 5:12 pm
Feb 212022
 

It has been brought to my attention that comments in a number of posts are being upvoted by a bot (example screenshotted below). What the actual point of that is, I don’t know, but it’s clearly not legit; it links to Disqus profiles that link to “dating sites” that are doubtless scam or phishing sites. Any ideas on how do block this sort of thing?

 Posted by at 12:14 am
Feb 182022
 

Another hour on the line with tech support *seems* to have cleared up a few issues… the error message *should* be gone (a plugin to measure statistics is screwed up somehow, so I had to ditch it), the header image *should* be back (a problem caused by the *last* problem, with the HTTS-HTTP thing). A potential issue remains of some people apparently not able to access the Disqus commenting. I don’t know how widespread that is, but I do know comments are reduced of late. Could be any number of explanations for that, of course. Today’s HTTPS fix *might* fix the Disqus issue, dunno.

If you can comment, great (especially if you recently *couldn’t* but now can, lemme know). If not, maybe drop me an email or, if you’re so inclined, tweet about it at my (gah) twitter.

 

 Posted by at 1:52 pm
Feb 172022
 

“Moonfall” is, hands down, the silliest movie I’ve seen in a *long* time. That said, it’s also fairly entertaining.

You *have* to go into this one with your higher brain functions turned off. It’s not so much that they got the science wrong; it’s more like they took a look at the science and said “FU, Science!” and did what they wanted to do anyway. The moon has a white dwarf inside it. A Space Shuttle solid rocket booster just… shuts off for no reason. The Moon gets close enough to scrape the atmosphere and, somehow, gains a surface gravity as great as that of the Earth… and yet the Earth isn’t torn asunder. The US and Europeans are able to cobble together a manned lunar SLS mission in days; and then NASA is able to pull a Space Shuttle out of a museum, stack it up at Vandenberg, and launch it with a ground crew of *two* *guys.* A guy is able to land a completely powered-down space shuttle simply by twiddling some valves. Gravity and orbital dynamics follow the Star Wars model at the best of times.

Yeah, no.

Still, it was *largely* entertaining. There are a lot of plot-unnecessary diversions to The Folks At Home, with the now expected divorced parents, kids, hapless stepfathers. Some editing could chop those out and make a tight little hour of quality splosion-riffic entertainment.

Lots of pretty disasterpalooza.

The movie ends with a hook for a sequel. But given that the production budget was $140 million and int he first two weeks its brought in around $17 million domestically… yeah, I’m not betting on a sequel happening. The local theater is now down to two showing a day, and there were a grand total of two people in the theater when I was there. Well, at least the mask mandate thing could be ignored…

 Posted by at 7:02 pm
Feb 162022
 

In March of 1961, “Space World” magazine published a few articles about what the future would look like thanks to the onrushing new technologies of the space age. It is… well, it’s wrong.

The article is jam-packed with predictions of a glorious technological and economic future to be brought about by the Space Age. And from the standpoint of 1961, it probably made sense: technology was advancing by leaps and bounds, the budget for NASA was beginning to explode, overall space and related science spending by both government and industry were shooting upwards. It *should* have been a glorious new age. But the experts did not count on a few things. Viet Nam, for example and, worse, LBJs “Great Society” economic and social suppression/dystopia promotion programs.

Some of the predictions for 1971:

1) The “Space Industry” would be the biggest industry in America

2) The “middle class” would be working high-paying skilled jobs and would make up 80% of the population

3) Skyscrapers would dwarf the Empire State Building, using girders made from beryllium, tantalum and niobium

4) Tape recorders would be the size of a cigarette

5) You could easily send a fax from, say, New York to Australia. You’d scan the page, beam it up to a satellite passing overhead, the satellite would store the scan and, when it some time later passed over Australia, the fax would be beamed down. That’s… not how international satellite communications works, but OK.

6) There’d be cities in Antarctica

7) There’d be regular, routine and affordable suborbital rocket passenger transport. Such as from Antarctica to New York, several flights a day.

Amusingly, these predictions are considered likely to be too conservative; people would look back to the predictions and “wonder why the prophets of 1961 were so shortsighted.”

“Today it is rocket time, and the coming decade will carry us all into the Age of Astronautics.”

 

They could not have known that their glorious future would only last a small handful of years. By 1968, the Apollo program was already terminated, with no follow-on. And the maximum spending for NASA occurred only in 65-66 or so, peaking at about 4% of the federal budget. Imagine if the upward trend had continued to, say, 1970. Perhaps 6, maybe 8% of the federal budget. What a world it could have been.

Awww. I gave myself a sad.

Sigh.

The full-rez scan of the article has been uploaded to the 2022-02 APR Extras folder on Dropbox. This is available to all $4 and up Patrons and Subscribers. If you would like to help fund the acquisition and preservation of such things, along with getting high quality scans for yourself, please consider signing on either for the APR Patreon or the APR Monthly Historical Documents Program.




 

 Posted by at 11:51 pm