Apr 072017
 

TRAPPIST-1’s Fatal Flaw Could Ruin Our Hopes of Finding Life There

Short form: 80 straight days of close examination of the red dwarf star TRAPPIST-1 showed 42 sizable solar flare events. Solar flares on a red dwarf are generally *relatively* more spectacular than they are on a larger star like the Sun… and the planets are far, far closer. The end result is that the X-ray flash from the flares can fry the planetary surfaces and strip their atmospheres.

So the chances of Earth-like conditions just took a bit of a tumble. On the other hand, these sort of flares probably wouldn’t mean much to a Europa-like world… colder than Earth, a deep planetary ocean frozen over on the surface but with kilometers of water underneath. How such a world might exist in a system like this is a bit of a head-scratcher, though. Europa keeps its ocean liquid due to tidal forcing from orbiting Jupiter; the planets of TRAPPIST-1 orbit far further from their star, and the tidal forces would be substantially lower.

 Posted by at 11:33 am
Apr 072017
 

CNN keeps yapping some non-story about “blah blah blah cruise missiles blah blah blah…”

I’m sure it’s fine. Everything is fine.

 

Meanwhile…

Discovery! Atmosphere Spotted on Nearly Earth-Size Exoplanet in First

The planet Gliese 1132 b is “only” 39 light years away, has a radius of 1.4 Earth and a mass of 1.6 Earths (surface gravity should be about  82% of Earths). Sounds great, right? Small problem: it’s real close to its red dwarf star. Orbits once every 1.6 days and gets 19 times the solar radiation as Earth, so it’s less a clone of Earth than a clone of Venus. But it seems to actually be a steamy Venus as astronomers detected water vapor and methane in the atmosphere. So… maybe the old ideas about Venus being a swamp planet loaded with dinosaurs and such might be kinda right… just off by 39 lightyears.

 Posted by at 4:13 am
Apr 062017
 

A few days ago I watched the movie “The Discovery.” It was based on an interesting idea… a scientist played by Robert Redford has scientifically proven to everyones satisfaction that there is, in fact, an afterlife (it’s pretty vague on just how this proof was demonstrated). What the proof does *not* include is any sort of definition on what that afterlife entails… heaven, hell, reincarnation, limbo… nada. Even so, in the several years since the discovery was announced, a major problem has hit society: millions of suicides. Now that people no longer have a doubt about an afterlife, a whole lot of ’em just decide to check out.

Unfortunately, “The Discovery” commits the worst cinematic sin: it was dull.

Still, it’s an interesting idea. How would society respond to proof that there was an afterlife? Three options seem most interesting to me:

A: The afterlife remains an unknown. That’s just it!  We don’t know! Maaaaybe something bad… maaaaybe something good!  I guess we’ll never know!

B: Everybody goes to Hell. Yog Sothoth awaits us all.

C: Everybody goes to Heaven.

What would happen in society at large with each?

With B, I can expect to see near-universal panic. There would be some people who wouldn’t panic… the people who were *already* convinced they were going to Hell. A lot of these people would be nightmares… together with the people who were only holding back their darker impulses because of the fear of Hell, they would rip and tear their way through society, now that they know that it doesn’t matter what they do – or don’t do. As for everybody else, there would be those who’d just sorta try to ignore it. There’d be those who would devote their efforts to life extension… suddenly, attempts to create immortality, or at least practical cryogenic suspension, wouldn’t seem so crackpot.

With C, some things would be the same as B. People restrained in their actions by a fear of damnation, if they knew that no matter how bad they were they still get to go to heaven, would suddenly go bonkers. But where in B most people would try to avoid death at all costs, if it was universally acknowledged that the afterlife is better than this life, it seems to me the population would plummet rather precipitously rather quickly. If life sucks *even* *a* *little,* then the promise of an assured paradise is impossible to ignore.

But Option A is one I can’t really predict. I think most people believe in an afterlife *now,* but there is enough doubt about whether it’s real, and worry about negative afterlives, that it keeps the believers from offing themselves. Additionally, most religions have proscriptions against suicide; if I understand Christianity correctly, suicide is generally a direct pipeline to damnation. Of course, some other, crappier religions offer up the idea that committing suicide while blowing yourself to smithereens is a direct pipeline to paradise; and the results are that regions under control of such religions are generally pretty awful.

Personally, I highly doubt that  scientific proof of an afterlife will come down the line anytime soon. Partially because I can’t see how such a proof could be accomplished; mostly because I doubt the existence of an afterlife. But it’s interesting to consider.

 Posted by at 3:30 am
Apr 042017
 

World’s First Skyscraper Designed To Hang Suspended From An Asteroid

What? No. Just… no.

Sigh. OK, here’s the short form: park an asteroid in Earth orbit, start unreeling a tether from it towards Earth. OK, fine so far… standard Space elevator stuff. But keep building it down until the bottom of the tether is in the atmosphere… and then hang a skyscraper from it.

Errrrmmmm… no.

For starters: materials science. The best stuff we can envision, graphene, *might* be just capable of making a tether that can support its own weight when hung from geostationary. With luck, we could get an elevator car to run up and down on it. But you know what weighs more than an elevator car? An entire friggen’ building.

Second: since the skyscraper is suspended from the cable above the ground, it’s free to wave about in the breeze. But that’s small taters, since the asteroid is not in a standard geostationary orbit, fixed over one spot over the equator. instead it’s on a 24-hour orbit, but highly inclined. Thus at one point in the day it’ll go as far north as New York City, and of course 12 hours later it’ll be just as far south of the equator. But you know what that means? it’s not just sedately wandering, it’s tear-assing across the sky like a jetliner. i can’t be bothered to figure out how fast it’ll be going when it crosses the equator, which is when it’ll be at its fastest, but I suspect it’ll be pushing Mach 1, And buildings kinda suck at that. It hangs down low enough that you have to design it so it doesn’t hit the terrain, so that means it’s a fantastic obstacle for jetliners. I further suspect that a cable 50,000 kilometers long won’t just stay pointed straight down, but might sway just a tad.

 

 

So, is this a serious proposal? It can’t possibly be. It’s a Neat Idea, safely sci-fi; a way for the design firm behind it to get some press. And press they got, unskeptical slobbery press akin to what Solar Roadways and Self Filling Water Bottles and Barack Obama got. I’ve got no problem with the designers… they label it as “speculative” and should take that to Hollywood and make some scratch. But the press needs to be smacked around some. At least some outlets bothered to contact someone who could tell ’em some debunkery.

One other notable flaw in the concept: the idea seem to be to build the major sections of the skyscraper *as* actual terrestrial skyscrapers, reaching kilometers into the sky. Then, they are attached to the bottom of the tether and hauled up. this may sound good… but it ain’t. The skyscrapers during construction would be, like every other tall building, under considerable *compression.* But when you grab ’em by the top floors and lift them up into the sky, they’re no longer in compression, but tension. These are essentially contradictory environments. Concrete is great from compressive loads; it sucks for tension. Graphene cables are great for tension; they’re no use at all in compression. These building would need to be built to handle *both,* and that’s the sort of requirement that makes engineers who are also trying to save weight – because, you know, they’re suspending this thing from 50,000 kilometers of bleeding-edge string – throw their hands up in disgust and decide to take up growing pot for a living.

 Posted by at 10:50 pm
Apr 042017
 

I have no idea if there is a popular movement afoot in Hungary and Poland to leave the EU, but the EU just made it more likely that there soon will be.

Take in migrants or leave, EU tells Hungary and Poland

Gee whiz, take in an invading army of antagonists, or no longer be saddled with an unaccountable bureaucracy. hmm. That’s sure a toughie.

 Posted by at 10:10 pm
Apr 042017
 

Been a busy day, news-wise. First up… a *potential* “ooopsie” for the former Administration:

Rice at center of intelligence storm over ‘unmasking’ flap

Seems that Susan Rice, national security advisor under Obama (and probably best known as the Voice Of The President when it came to blaming terrorism in the middle east not on middle eastern terrorism, but on a badly made video) *may* have had a hand in getting intelligence data on Trump campaign officials.


And in Syria…

Chemical attack kills dozens in Syria as victims foam at the mouth, activists say

Looks like Putins lil’ buddy Assad committed yet another war crime by gassing his own people.


Butwaittheresmore!

North Korea fires a ballistic missile as Trump prepares to host China’s Xi

I’m getting more and more used to the idea that Lil’ Kim is going to actually shoot a nuke at somebody in the foreseeable future.


And finally, by far the biggest news story of the day:

‘Invader Zim’ is returning to Nickelodeon as a TV movie

About time!

As a bonus, it seems all the important voice actors *and* Jhonen Vasquez, creator of Zim, will return.

If you haven’t seen “Invader Zim…” what the hell’s wrong with you? That show was friggen’ awesome, and like Ren & Stimpy before it, I was always amazed that it was put on a kid’s channel. Zim and Futurama are the pinnacle of sci-fi humor animation.

 

 Posted by at 9:10 pm
Apr 042017
 

Here’s the most heart-warming news story you’ll read today:

The grandpa of one of three armed robber teens shot dead by an AR-15 believes “they did not deserve to die”

As the title suggests, three teenagers decided it would be a really good idea to break into another fellers house while the home owner was sleeping. The robbers had weapons like brass knuckles and knives; the home owner had an AR-15. Guess who won. One of the now-former teenagers grandfathers said this gem;

“What these three boys did was stupid. They knew they could be punished for it but they did not deserve to die. Brass knuckles against an AR-15, come on, who was afraid for their life? There’s got to be a limit to that law. I mean he shot all three of them; there was no need for that.”

Yeah, there was no need for that. His grandson didn’t need to engage in armed burglary. But he did; and a violent death is substantially increased when one decides to engage in petty evil.

Even better; the three had themselves a getaway driver, a 21-year-old woman. A 21-year-old woman who is now being charged with three counts of first degree murder. Ha!

While the gene pool is undeniably better off, there is a sour note to report: the feller who defended himself  is reportedly “distressed” for being forced to open fire. This is not unusual, of course. Even in cases when the homicide is not only justifiable but praiseworthy, the act of taking another’s life is something the average human brain has some trouble with. Getting past that and making killing easy requires a sociopathic or psychopathic mind, bad parenting, brainwashing or indoctrination into a “religion of peace” (but then, I repeat myself).

 Posted by at 2:57 am
Apr 022017
 

I’m essentially done with the drafting portion of the exercise. Now to finish the writing. I had planned on releasing ll five at once, but due to external factors I’ll almost certainly have to split this up. So… which ones do people want more? The publications forthcoming are Fighters, Bombers, Transports, Launchers and Recon & Research. Comment below…

 Posted by at 11:07 pm
Apr 022017
 

Along with companies issuing fake press releases, sometimes they do *really* jerky things. For example… last night Adult Swim sprung Rick & Morty Season 3 on the world without notice, live streaming it once on their website. *Of* *course* some folks managed to record it and have posted it to YouTube, but I imagine the lawyertrons will get the copies yanked before too long. Here’s one (download it while ya can):

 

 Posted by at 9:57 am
Apr 022017
 

Well, one of the problems, anyway.

Assume for the sake of argument that practical immorality has been attained. Whether by magic, science or science indistinguishable from magic, doesn’t matter. But the end result is that  perfectly normal modern Homo Sapiens can get the treatment and become functionally immortal. They’ll be a physically healthy 30-year-old forever, or at least until killed by violence or impressive disease or whatnot. There are no Twilight Zone-esque twists or downsides; you don’t spend eternity in a box or in pain or insane or any such. It’s just honest to goodness proper eternal youth and health. Yay.

Now, there are a lot of well-established problems with that, such as population and cultural stagnation. But here’s the one I’m currently pondering: at what point does the brain run out of space?

There have been people well past 100 who still have pretty good minds and memories, so it seems the brain can handle a century worth of data storage – no doubt with a lot of compression and editing. A century makes sense… humans have not greatly extended the maximum of the human lifespan. Sure, the *average* lifespan has increased vastly; throughout most of history, making it past 40 would be a notable achievement. But there have always been old folks… Plato, for example, was about 80 when he died. But since 100 is approximately as old as humans get, there’d be no good reason for the brain to have more capacity than that; it’d be simply wasted capacity, and no reason why it might have evolved. If there is excess capacity that gets used for other purposes earlier in life, then as that brain-space becomes converted into storage space, capabilities used earlier will be lost.

So. Once humans are made immortal, at some point their ability to keep recording new memories is going to become a bit problematic. It seems unlikely that recording will simply stop. Instead, I imagine that at least initially, older memories will become fuzzy as they get compressed and overwritten, a process that’ll be slow and perhaps will go by unnoticed for a good long while. And then one day someone will ask the immortal about their childhood, and the immortal will realize that it’s all gone. Or perhaps after enough time the memories just start piling up into an uncorrelated mishmash, eventually turning the brain into a non-functional mess.

What to do here? I’ve seen some statisticians claim that if humans could avoid death by the effect of aging and the more common diseases, human lifespans might average anywhere from a few thousand to a few tens of thousands of years before the effects of accidents and such wipe them out. Even at the lower end, that means perhaps dozens of lifetimes of memories that will be simply lost. One approach might be to simply say “screw it” and let it ride. I’m *guessing* that some forms of memory will remain… you won’t forget how to speak your native language or do basic math, or forget how to walk or tie your space-shoes, because these will be memories that are constantly being refreshed. But friends and family, entire careers, might simply fade away to nothing. Joe Schmoe at age 400 might remember absolutely nothing at all about his life until around the age 320. The fact that he was President Of Earth at age 52, and spent his years from 124 to 197 in prison for a string of cannibalistic homicides and was a leading colonizer of Alpha Centauri from 244 to 297, might be completely unknown to him. Or perhaps those facts might be known to him in the same way that someone today might know the facts about the life of Abe Lincoln… he read about them in a book or saw a documentary, but the facts don’t have any particular meaning to the immortal. It was just some other guy, all those years ago. And this possibility raises further ponderables. Let’s say that Joe Schmoe was a major war criminal at age 263. Oversaw the slaughter of thousands, destroyed whole civilizations, talked loudly in theaters. But it’s not until he’s 700 years old that he’s finally caught. But his very last memory of his time as Head Honcho of the People’s Democratic Socialist Republic of Boulder faded into oblivion nearly 300 years ago. He’s been two completely different people since then. Is he still That Guy? Is he responsible, in a legal or ethical sense?

Another approach might be to record memories on some form of backup drive. A hundred years from now, chances are good that something you could stick in your head would be capable of recording a brains worth of data. But once you’ve accumulated a millennium of experiences… how the hell will a person sort it all out? And of course, if memories can be recorded artificially, they can be manipulated. Erased, tweaked, twisted. Transferred from one person to another. Heck, color-reversed, fade corrected, the hue and saturation jacked up and the volume turned down. And what will *that* do to people? We all have memories we’d love to ditch. Imagine having centuries worth of mistakes you’d just as soon not have, and the ability to delete them. Santayana might have something to say about that.

 

 Posted by at 1:52 am